Ebene News – CA – Chinese rocket tracker LIVE: Booster could crash into Earth this weekend

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EXPERTS rush to determine where Chinese rocket part will land after it gets out of hand

They warned that it could reach “as far north as Chicago, New York, Rome and Beijing and as far south as New Zealand and Chile”

China launched its first space station on Thursday in the first of 11 missions that will see a three-person crew sent by the end of 2022

But the part of the rocket that ruptured as expected was to have a controlled reentry – until Chinese authorities lost the ability to coordinate its landing

It is now circling the earth and is expected to crash this weekend, with scientists trying to pinpoint exactly where it will strike

Although it has the potential to strike in a densely populated area, the Pentagon has previously refused to shoot it down

However, the statistical risk for a person to be struck by falling space debris is very low, says Marlon Sorge, CORDS senior engineer at Aerospace Corporation.

He says the risk of this happening is “so low that one of my colleagues joked that if the re-entry predictions put his house directly under the path, he would come out with a camera and watch”

The likelihood of a piece of space debris landing on a densely populated city or area is usually relatively low, expert says

“What makes this re-entry particularly remarkable is that it will take place between 415 deg N and 415 degrees S latitudes, where the vast majority of the world’s population lives,” adds Marlon Sorge, CORDS senior engineer to Aerospace Corporation

The European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) warned aircraft of the impending fall of the Long March 5B

In a security bulletin, he urged all operators to be alerted to the potential fall, but said it was “unlikely” that he would reach near a “populated area, airport or from a main air route “

He said: “[It] has an estimated mass of 17-21 tons and a length of around 30, making it one of the largest debris to re-enter the atmosphere in recent years. , so it deserves to be careful surveillance “

EASA urged airmen to “watch developments” and take updates from the European Union Satellite Center

A huge Chinese rocket falling uncontrollably from space appears poised to crash into Earth this weekend as experts warn debris from the impact could strike an inhabited area

The 21-ton thruster’s trajectory calculations predict it will fall on Saturday US time, but where it will land “can only be located hours after reentry,” Pentagon said

The US Space Command follows the wreckage of the spacecraft, which took off last week with the first module of the new Chinese space station

About 30 meters (100 feet) in length, the booster scene is said to be one of the largest space debris to ever fall on Earth

Experts have warned that debris from the crash could land anywhere in a “red zone” that contains major cities like New York and Madrid

China could have designed its rocket to have a controlled reentry – but choose not to, experts say

The rocket is currently returning at 18,000 mph towards Earth and is likely to crash somewhere in the Indian Ocean or the Pacific on Sunday

However, there is a low probability that it could touch land and an still low risk of it crashing in a populated area

Jonathan McDowell, astrophysicist at the Center for Astrophysics in Cambridge, said the rocket’s free fall was “careless” and “irresponsible”

Dr McDowell said China could have designed the rocket to be safe, but it was a “probability-based engineering decision”

“The probability of a random reentry landing in the ocean is about 3: 4, since the Earth is about 75% covered by the oceans,” according to Marlon Sorge, senior engineer at the Center for Studies on orbital and reentry debris

The expert added: “Normally the first stage of a rocket and its strap boosters are not designed to reach orbit

“Their trajectories are planned so that the stage and any strap boosters fall in a safe area, usually in the ocean

“In this case, the core of the first stage of the rocket reached orbit. This means that it was no longer able to control where it would enter without a deorbitation maneuver”

The rocket stage’s orbital tilt of 415 degrees means reentry can be as far north as Chicago, New York, Rome and Beijing, Aerospace explains in the United States

This puts any of these locations on the potential re-entry path of this gigantic space junk measuring 98 feet long and 165 feet wide and weighs 21 metric tons, experts add

A large Chinese rocket stage is expected to enter Earth’s atmosphere within hours, and experts are concerned about the potential impact of the debris

The Long March 5B successfully launched a 225-ton core module of China’s first space station last week

During launch, the first stage of the Long March 5B also reached orbital speed instead of falling in the downward direction as is common practice

This placed the empty rocket body in an elliptical orbit around Earth where it is dragged into an uncontrolled reentry in the next few days, Aerospace Corporation explains

In 2020, debris from another Longue Marche rocket fell on villages in Côte d’Ivoire, causing structural damage, but no injuries or deaths

Jonathan McDowell, an astrophysicist at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, said that while there was no cause for “too much” concern, the rocket’s design needed rethinking to prevent ‘such a scenario does not happen again

“There is a real risk of damage to anything it touches and the external risk of causing a victim,” he said

“Having a ton of metallic shards flying through the Earth at hundreds of kilometers per hour is not good practice, and China should rethink Long-March 5B missions to avoid this”

New Zealand’s North Island Is Latest “Informed Prediction” Of Where Out Of Control Chinese Rocket Could Land, Report Says

In a tweet Friday night, the aerospace company’s Center for Orbital Reentry and Debris Studies (CORDS) said its latest “educated prediction” showed near the North Island as a likely location, New Zealand reports Herald

But China’s Foreign Ministry said most of the rocket debris would be cremated upon return and likely not cause any damage

Our latest prediction for rocket body reentry # LongMarch5B CZ-5B is 🚀 May 09, 2021 04:19 UTC ± 8 hours along the ground track shown here Follow this page for updates: https : // tco / p2AU9zVEpA picTwittercom / rsE6yzcnHb

Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said earlier that the US military had no plans to shoot him down and suggested that China had been negligent in dropping it out of its way. orbit

“Given the size of the object, there will necessarily be large pieces left,” said Florent Delefie, astronomer at the Paris-PSL Observatory

“The chances of debris landing on an inhabited area are minimal, probably one in a million”

While there has been feverish speculation about exactly where the rocket – or parts of it – will land, there’s a good chance that the debris that doesn’t burn will just splash around the rocket. ocean, given that the planet is 70% water

“We hope he lands in a place where he doesn’t harm anyone,” Pentagon spokesman Mike Howard said

Howard said the United States was tracking the segment of the rocket, but “its exact point of entry into Earth’s atmosphere can only be identified hours after re-entry.”

Beijing played down its fears and said there was a very low risk of damage from its rocket

A Long March-5B rocket launched the first module of the new Chinese space station into Earth orbit on April 29

Its 18-ton main segment is now in freefall, and experts have said it is difficult to say precisely where and when it will re-enter the atmosphere

“The probability of causing damage on the ground is extremely weak, “Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Wang Wenbin told reporters on Friday.

Scientists monitoring the fall of the Chinese Long March 5B rocket will only be able to locate the crash site a few hours before it reenters

However, it will most likely hit the Pacific Ocean near the equator after passing through towns in the eastern United States, according to US Space Command.

About 30 meters (100 feet) in length, the booster scene is said to be one of the largest space debris to ever fall on Earth

On April 29, China launched the first of three elements of its station atop the Long March 5B rocket which is now being followed

Rocket body “falling almost intact,” Pentagon spokesman John Kirby said on Wednesday

The European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) warned aircraft of the impending fall of the Long March 5B

In a security bulletin, he urged all operators to be alerted to the potential fall, but said it was “unlikely” that he would reach near a “populated area, airport or from a main air route “

He said: “[It] has an estimated mass of 17-21 tons and a length of around 30, making it one of the largest debris to re-enter the atmosphere in recent years. , so it deserves to be careful surveillance “

EASA urged airmen to “watch developments” and take updates from the European Union Satellite Center

The 18-ton block of Long March 5B could crash as early as tonight, according to the Pentagon

Pentagon spokesman Mike Howard said: “We hope he lands in a place where he doesn’t harm anyone”

The start of the school year should be around 11:00 p.m. GMT – so 7:00 p.m. EST – Saturday, with a window of roughly nine hours on each side

Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Wang Wenbin said: “The likelihood of causing harm … on the ground is extremely low”

China could have designed its rocket to have a controlled reentry – but choose not to, experts say

The rocket is currently returning at 18,000 mph towards Earth and is likely to crash somewhere in the Indian Ocean or the Pacific on Sunday

However, there is a low probability that it could touch land and an still low risk of it crashing in a populated area

Jonathan McDowell, astrophysicist at the Center for Astrophysics in Cambridge, said the rocket’s free fall was “careless” and “irresponsible”

Dr McDowell said China could have designed the rocket to be safe, but it was a “probability-based engineering decision”

Ted J Muelhaupt, senior director of the Center for Orbital and Re-entry Debris Studies at Aerospace, told the New York Times: “It’s no trivial thing to design something for a deliberate re-entry, but it is nevertheless something that the world as a whole has moved because we had to “

The long March 5 are heavy rockets developed by China to be the cornerstone of its space ambitions

It can carry weights of up to 55,000 lbs in low earth orbit and 31,000 lbs in geostationary orbit

The two-stage rocket has similar capabilities to the US Delta IV Heavy – and is considered the third most powerful rocket in the world after SpaceX’s Delta and Flask Heavy

China has seven more launches planned – with two more delivering parts to a space station under construction in 2022

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Chinese rocket tracker

Ebene News – CA – Chinese rocket tracker LIVE: Booster could crash into Earth this weekend

Source: https://www.thesun.co.uk/tech/14890450/chinese-rocket-tracker-live-crash/